Miami Marlins at New York Yankees: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 1 |
| NYY | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | - | 9 | 6 | 1 |
The Story
The New York Yankees defeated the Miami Marlins 9-7 on April 4, 2026, at Yankee Stadium, overcoming an early deficit to secure the win as the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a New York victory climbed from a pre-game 54 percent all the way to 100 percent by the final out. Miami struck first and struck often early, plating two runs in the first inning and adding one more in the second and fourth, but the Yankees gradually clawed their way back with a pair in the fifth and a three-run sixth before delivering the decisive blow in the eighth.
The swing of the game arrived in the bottom of the eighth inning, when Giancarlo Stanton singled off Michael Petersen to produce the single largest win-probability shift of the night at plus 27.1 percent. That hit capped a three-run Yankees eighth that turned a tenuous lead into a commanding cushion. Earlier, Aaron Judge's single off Anthony Bender in the sixth had carried a plus 18.9 percent swing, and Cody Bellinger's home run off Max Meyer in the fifth added plus 15.7 percent, each play steadily tipping the balance toward New York. Miami did mount a threat of its own in the top of the eighth, with Xavier Edwards doubling off Camilo Doval for a plus 17.9 percent swing and Javier Sanoja following with a double of his own for plus 13.6 percent, but the Marlins' two runs that inning were not enough to reclaim the lead.
On the individual ledger, Stanton led all batters with a plus 23.3 percent WPA and plus 1.0 RE24, while Judge contributed plus 21.1 percent WPA and plus 1.1 RE24 in a balanced offensive effort from the Yankees' middle of the order. Edwards paced the Marlins with plus 21.3 percent WPA and a game-high plus 2.4 RE24, giving Miami its most productive offensive output despite the loss. On the mound, Max Meyer led all pitchers with a plus 14.2 percent WPA, followed by Tim Hill at plus 8.6 percent and Brent Headrick at plus 5.8 percent, as the DiamondIQ model ultimately reflected what the final score confirmed: New York's bullpen held the margin when it mattered most.