Los Angeles Dodgers at Washington Nationals: Final Score & Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers handed the Washington Nationals a 10-5 defeat at Nationals Park on April 4, 2026, building an early cushion that the DiamondIQ model's estimate reflected almost immediately. Washington entered as a 54% favorite, but the Dodgers struck for two runs in the first inning and piled on three more in the second, effectively erasing the home side's pre-game edge within the opening frames. Los Angeles added three more in the fifth and never allowed the Nationals a realistic path back, finishing with 16 hits and no errors against Washington's eight hits and one miscue.

The decisive swing of the game came in the bottom of the second, when Jorbit Vivas grounded out against Tyler Glasnow in a moment that shifted win probability by 11.6 percentage points against Washington, the single largest WPA play of the contest. Glasnow was dominant throughout, finishing as the top performer on either side with a cumulative WPA of plus-18.5%, and Daylen Lile's groundout in the bottom of the first, also off Glasnow, carried a swing of minus-6.5% for the Nationals. On the offensive side, Andy Pages delivered the signature hit of the day, a home run off Brad Lord in the top of the fifth worth plus-6.6% in win probability as part of a three-run inning that pushed the Dodgers lead to double digits.

Among position players, Pages led Los Angeles with a WPA of plus-11.8% and an RE24 of plus-2.3, while Will Smith contributed plus-10.8% WPA, anchored by a pop out in the second that actually benefited the Dodgers by plus-9.8% in the context of the inning's sequencing. Freddie Freeman rounded out the top three offensive contributors at plus-6.4% WPA and led the group with an RE24 of plus-2.9, including a double off Jake Irvin in the second that kept the Dodgers' rally alive. The DiamondIQ model closed with Washington at 0% win probability, a complete reversal from the 54% the Nationals held before first pitch.