MLB Recap · April 1, 2026

Chicago White Sox at Miami Marlins: Final Score & Recap

CWS0
Final
MIA10

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
CWS000000000031
MIA42200101-10130

The Story

The Miami Marlins routed the Chicago White Sox 10-0 on April 1, 2026, at loanDepot park, a decisive outcome that pushed the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Miami win from 54 percent before first pitch to 100 percent by game's end. The Marlins did their most damaging work early, plating four runs in the first inning and two more in the second to effectively end the contest before it began. Chicago finished with just three hits and committed one error, while Miami posted 13 hits and played clean defense throughout.

The game's defining sequence came in the bottom of the first and second innings against White Sox starter Shane Smith. Connor Norby led the way in the first with a double that added 4.1 percent to Miami's win probability, and Javier Sanoja followed with a forceout that contributed another 7.2 percent swing. The second inning brought a Liam Hicks home run off Smith worth 6.1 percent in win probability added, while a Norby flyout in that same frame added a somewhat unusual 10.0 percent, reflecting how decisively the Marlins were extending their lead in high-leverage moments. On the Chicago side, Everson Pereira's strikeout against Sandy Alcantara in the top of the second represented the game's largest single negative swing at 9.2 percent, underscoring how thoroughly the White Sox offense was neutralized.

Norby was Miami's standout performer by the DiamondIQ model's accounting, finishing with a combined WPA of plus-14.1 percent and a RE24 of plus-1.1. Hicks added plus-6.4 percent WPA and led all position players with a RE24 of plus-2.7, while Sanoja contributed plus-8.7 percent WPA. Sandy Alcantara anchored the pitching effort with plus-12.6 percent WPA, and the model leans toward crediting his performance as the central reason Chicago never found any foothold in the game.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025CWS bats firstFinalMIA win %CWS win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 54% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Connor Norby Flyout
Bot 2nd · off Shane Smith
+10.0%
Everson Pereira Strikeout
Top 2nd · off Sandy Alcantara
-9.2%
Javier Sanoja Forceout
Bot 1st · off Shane Smith
+7.2%
Liam Hicks Home Run
Bot 2nd · off Shane Smith
+6.1%
Connor Norby Double
Bot 1st · off Shane Smith
+4.1%

Top Batters by WPA

Connor Norby+14.1%+1.1 RE24
Javier Sanoja+8.7%+0.3 RE24
Liam Hicks+6.4%+2.7 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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