MLB Recap · March 31, 2026

Cleveland Guardians at Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Recap

CLE1
Final
LAD4

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
CLE000000001120
LAD00010102-4100

The Story

The Los Angeles Dodgers defeated the Cleveland Guardians 4-1 on March 31, 2026, at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium, holding Cleveland to just two hits while cruising through what became a dominant home performance. The DiamondIQ model opened the game with a 54 percent home win probability, but by the final out that figure had climbed to 100 percent, reflecting how thoroughly Los Angeles controlled the contest from the middle innings onward.

The decisive moments came in bunches for the Dodgers. Andy Pages delivered the game's first meaningful swing in the bottom of the fourth, a single off Tanner Bibee that registered a +9.5 percent win-probability gain and got Los Angeles on the board. Max Muncy then provided the knockout blow in the bottom of the sixth, connecting on a home run off Kolby Allard for a +12.2 percent win-probability swing, the single largest play of the game by that measure. Those two at-bats effectively closed the door on Cleveland's chances, and an eighth-inning two-run frame pushed the final margin to three. The Guardians' lone run came in the top of the ninth, long after the outcome had been decided.

Shohei Ohtani was the evening's standout performer by a wide margin, finishing as the top-credited pitcher with +27.6 percent WPA. A strikeout of CJ Kayfus in the third inning alone accounted for a -4.7 percent shift against the Guardians. Muncy led all batters at +14.6 percent WPA and +1.4 RE24, while Pages added +7.0 percent WPA and +1.0 RE24. In the bullpen, Jack Dreyer contributed +8.1 percent WPA and Alex Vesia +7.2 percent, as the Dodgers' pitching staff collectively held Cleveland's lineup to an inconsequential two-hit effort.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025CLE bats firstFinalLAD win %CLE win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 54% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Max Muncy Home Run
Bot 6th · off Kolby Allard
+12.2%
Andy Pages Single
Bot 4th · off Tanner Bibee
+9.5%
David Fry Strikeout
Top 8th · off Jack Dreyer
-5.3%
Steven Kwan Walk
Top 8th · off Jack Dreyer
+5.0%
CJ Kayfus Strikeout
Top 3rd · off Shohei Ohtani
-4.7%

Top Batters by WPA

Max Muncy+14.6%+1.4 RE24
Andy Pages+7.0%+1.0 RE24
Shohei Ohtani+5.8%+0.4 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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