Boston Red Sox at Cincinnati Reds: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 1 |
| CIN | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 0 |
The Story
The Cincinnati Reds survived a late Boston rally to win 6-5 in eleven innings at Great American Ball Park on March 28, 2026, completing a comeback after the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a home win had been severely tested in the final frames of regulation.
The game's two most consequential plays pulled in opposite directions and defined the contest. In the top of the ninth with the Reds protecting a lead, Wilyer Abreu launched a home run off Emilio Pagán that swung win probability by +36.3 percentage points in Boston's favor, the single largest momentum shift of the night and one that forced extra innings. Cincinnati answered through attrition, and in the bottom of the eleventh Dane Myers delivered a walk-off single off Justin Slaten worth +35.9 percentage points, the second-largest swing of the game and the one that closed it out. Aroldis Chapman had kept Boston at bay in the ninth by striking out Noelvi Marte in a high-leverage spot, a sequence that added +14.0 percentage points to Cincinnati's chances before Abreu erased it moments later. Elly De La Cruz had contributed a fifth-inning home run off Greg Weissert worth +10.6 percentage points, part of an early cushion Boston spent the middle innings methodically chipping away at.
By WPA, Abreu was Boston's standout despite the loss, finishing at +39.2 percent with a RE24 of +0.8, while Myers led all players in the game's decisive contribution at +35.9 percent and +1.1 RE24. Sal Stewart added +15.9 percent and paced all batters with a +1.6 RE24. Among pitchers, Sam Moll led Cincinnati's bullpen at +6.4 percent, with Ryan Watson and Pierce Johnson each contributing positively at +3.9 and +3.5 percent respectively. The DiamondIQ model had opened with Cincinnati as a 54 percent favorite and closed at 100 percent following Myers's game-ending hit.