Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers defeated the Arizona Diamondbacks 3-2 on March 28, 2026, at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium, with Will Smith's eighth-inning home run off Juan Morillo serving as the decisive blow. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving the Dodgers a 54% win probability, a margin that remained relatively tight through the middle frames before shifting decisively. Smith's two-run shot added 44.1 percentage points of win probability in a single swing, pushing the DiamondIQ model's estimate to a position from which Arizona never recovered. Freddie Freeman had laid the groundwork in the sixth inning with a double off Jonathan Loáisiga that added 10.4 percentage points, giving the Dodgers a 1-1 tie after Arizona had scored in the first and third innings.

The pitching side of the ledger was equally consequential. Eduardo Rodriguez led all pitchers with a WPA of plus-24.1, his outing blunting the Diamondbacks' offense and including a Shohei Ohtani ground into a double play in the fifth that cost Arizona 7.1 percentage points of win probability. Edwin Díaz closed matters in the ninth, finishing off a Pavin Smith flyout that represented Arizona's final meaningful threat and added 15.2 percentage points to the Dodgers' ledger. Joe Ross contributed plus-9.7 WPA in his portion of the game. The final line showed Arizona generating just five hits against a Dodger staff that committed no errors, while the Diamondbacks' lone miscue contributed to the clean home-side ledger that defined Los Angeles's workmanlike 3-2 victory.