Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros: Final Score & Recap

The Houston Astros defeated the Los Angeles Angels 11-9 on March 28, 2026, at Daikin Park in a game that was closer than the final margin suggested until a decisive sixth inning swung the outcome definitively in Houston's favor. The DiamondIQ model entered the game with a 54 percent home win probability, a figure that climbed steadily before reaching 100 percent by the final out.

The Angels briefly seized momentum in the early innings, with Jorge Soler's fourth-inning home run off Cristian Javier representing the game's most impactful offensive play from the visiting side, adding 17.7 percent win probability and registering a RE24 of plus-2.5. Los Angeles carried a 3-0 lead into the bottom of the fifth, when Houston responded with three runs to tie the game. The contest turned decisively in the bottom of the sixth, when the Astros sent eight runs across the plate against Angels relievers Walbert Ureña and Joey Lucchesi. The inning's most consequential moments came in rapid succession: a Carlos Correa single off Ureña shifted win probability by plus-18.4 percent, followed closely by a Christian Walker single at plus-17.9 percent, a Yainer Diaz single off Lucchesi at plus-16.2 percent, and an intentional walk to Yordan Alvarez that added another 12.4 percent. The Angels committed three errors on the evening and managed only six hits, compounding the damage.

Among individual performers, Christian Walker finished as the top contributor by WPA at plus-20.7 percent with a RE24 of plus-2.1, while Soler posted plus-20.3 percent WPA despite being on the losing side. Carlos Correa added plus-19.9 percent WPA in a pivotal sixth-inning role. On the mound, Reid Detmers led all pitchers with a plus-10.3 percent WPA contribution for Houston, anchoring a performance that held Los Angeles to three scoreless runs in a ninth-inning rally that proved far too late.