The Los Angeles Angels shut out the Houston Astros 3-0 at Daikin Park on March 26, 2026, holding Houston scoreless through nine innings while the DiamondIQ model's estimate swung dramatically from a 54 percent pre-game home win probability to zero by the final out. The Angels produced all three of their runs in the game's final three frames, breaking a scoreless deadlock in the seventh on a home run by Mike Trout off AJ Blubaugh, a swing that added 16.5 percent in win probability and served as the decisive blow of the contest. Los Angeles added a run in the eighth when Oswald Peraza singled off Bryan King for a 14.2 percent win-probability swing, then tacked on a final insurance run in the ninth to complete the 3-0 final on a nine-hit, zero-error night.
Houston's best threat materialized in the bottom of the seventh, when Christian Walker doubled off Walbert Ureña to generate a 10.6 percent win-probability shift in the Astros' favor. However, the Angels held firm as Yordan Alvarez grounded out to Chase Silseth, a moment that erased 8.7 percent from Houston's chances. Carlos Correa had lined out to José Soriano in the third under similar circumstances, a play that cost the Astros 7.8 percent in win probability and effectively neutralized one of their earliest opportunities to break through.
Mike Trout led all position players with a final WPA of plus-20.5 percent and a RE24 of plus-1.4, while Jo Adell contributed plus-9.4 percent WPA to support the Angels' offense. On the mound, José Soriano was the game's most impactful arm with a remarkable plus-31.0 percent WPA, anchoring a pitching staff that held Houston to just three hits. Hunter Brown posted plus-15.3 percent WPA in a losing effort for the Astros, and Drew Pomeranz added plus-13.3 percent WPA for Los Angeles as the Angels' bullpen closed out a dominant performance.
Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.