The Cleveland Guardians shut out the Arizona Diamondbacks 7-0 at Chase Field on March 23, 2026, handing the home side a complete loss after the DiamondIQ model had opened the day with Arizona holding a 54% win probability. That figure collapsed steadily across nine innings and finished at 0%, a reflection of how thoroughly Cleveland controlled the contest from the opening frame through the final out.
The decisive stretch came in the third inning, where back-to-back singles by Kyle Manzardo and José Ramírez off opposing pitchers shifted the game's probability meaningfully in Cleveland's favor, with Manzardo's hit carrying a win-probability swing of plus-7.5% and Ramírez's adding another plus-5.8%. Arizona's best chances to keep it close were extinguished early: Nolan Arenado's pop out in the first inning represented a minus-6.3% swing against the Diamondbacks, and Alek Thomas's flyout in the second carried a minus-7.8% impact, compounding a pattern of stranded opportunity that left Arizona with just two hits on the night against Cleveland's pitching.
Slade Cecconi was the dominant individual performer by win-probability contribution, posting a plus-22.8% WPA for Arizona despite being on the losing side, a figure that reflects the leverage of the outs he recorded rather than the game's outcome. On the Cleveland side, Manzardo led position players with a plus-7.3% WPA and a plus-1.0 RE24, while Chase DeLauter contributed plus-6.8% WPA and led the lineup with a plus-2.6 RE24, indicating his plate appearances generated meaningful run-expectancy value in Cleveland's 10-hit, error-free performance.
Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.