The Los Angeles Angels defeated the Seattle Mariners 6-2 on March 14, 2026, at Tempe Diablo Stadium, a result that moved the DiamondIQ model's win probability estimate from a pre-game 77 percent in favor of the home side all the way to 100 percent by the final out. The Angels built their lead incrementally, scoring in the second, fourth, sixth, and eighth innings, while Seattle's offense struggled to generate consistent damage against an Angels pitching staff that controlled the game from the start.
The most consequential sequence came in the top of the eighth, where the two biggest individual plays of the game unfolded in quick succession. Josh Hood's lineout was the single most damaging moment for Seattle, costing the Mariners 14.3 percentage points of win probability off Najer Victor's pitch, effectively extinguishing a potential rally before it could take hold. Luis Suisbel answered with a home run off Kaleb Ort that added 9.2 percentage points for Seattle, providing the Mariners' lone bright spot in the inning, but it was too little too late. Earlier, Oswald Peraza's sixth-inning double off Cole Wilcox had been the Angels' most impactful offensive moment, adding 9.1 percentage points and helping fuel a two-run frame that extended Los Angeles's cushion. Cole Young's fifth-inning single off Brent Suter, worth 8.2 percentage points, had briefly kept Seattle's hopes alive.
On the individual ledger, Luke Raley led all position players with a WPA of plus-15.5 percent, while Logan O'Hoppe contributed plus-13.8 percent and a RE24 of plus-1.7, the best run-creation figure among regulars. Oswald Peraza finished at plus-11.2 percent with a RE24 of plus-1.2. On the mound, Wyatt Lunsford-Shenkman was the most impactful pitcher of the game at plus-12.8 percent WPA, followed by Jimmy Kingsbury at plus-10.1 percent and Najer Victor at plus-8.0 percent. Seattle finished with eight hits and no errors, but the Angels' 11-hit output proved far more efficient in translating opportunities into runs.
Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.