MLB Recap · March 11, 2026

Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees: Final Score & Recap

TOR1
Final
NYY8

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
TOR000100000140
NYY00400121-8100

The Story

The New York Yankees defeated the Toronto Blue Jays 8-1 at George M. Steinbrenner Field on March 11, 2026, finishing with 10 hits to Toronto's four. The DiamondIQ model opened the game with a 54 percent home win probability and closed it at 100 percent, reflecting just how thoroughly the Yankees seized control of the contest.

The decisive moment came in the bottom of the third inning, when New York scored four runs and effectively ended the competitive portion of the game. Giancarlo Stanton delivered the biggest swing of the afternoon, a home run off Eric Lauer that shifted win probability by 13.1 percent in New York's favor. Trent Grisham followed with a double off Lauer worth 12.0 percent, and Randal Grichuk added another double in the same frame for an additional 6.1 percent swing. The Blue Jays generated a brief response in the top of the fourth, when Jesús Sánchez doubled off Cam Schlittler for an 8.1 percent favorable shift and Toronto eventually pushed across their lone run, but the deficit was too deep to meaningfully threaten. Myles Straw's lineout against Kervin Castro in the fifth, costing Toronto 6.1 percent win probability, illustrated how thoroughly New York's pitching staff suppressed any rally attempts.

Stanton led all players with a cumulative WPA of plus-16.3 percent and a RE24 of plus-2.5, while Grisham finished at plus-12.4 percent WPA and plus-1.2 RE24. Nathan Lukes contributed plus-6.6 percent WPA on the offensive side as well. On the mound, Kervin Castro and Carlos Lagrange paced the New York staff with WPA figures of plus-8.0 and plus-7.9 percent respectively, with Schlittler adding plus-2.7 percent in a collective shutdown effort that held Toronto to a single run across nine innings.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025TOR bats firstFinalNYY win %TOR win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 54% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Giancarlo Stanton Home Run
Bot 3rd · off Eric Lauer
+13.1%
Trent Grisham Double
Bot 3rd · off Eric Lauer
+12.0%
Jesús Sánchez Double
Top 4th · off Cam Schlittler
+8.1%
Myles Straw Lineout
Top 5th · off Kervin Castro
-6.1%
Randal Grichuk Double
Bot 3rd · off Eric Lauer
+6.1%

Top Batters by WPA

Giancarlo Stanton+16.3%+2.5 RE24
Trent Grisham+12.4%+1.2 RE24
Nathan Lukes+6.6%+0.5 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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