MLB Recap · October 4, 2025

Detroit Tigers at Seattle Mariners: Final Score & Recap

DET3
Final
SEA2

Line Score

Team1234567891011RHE
DET00002000001370
SEA00010100000260

The Story

Generating analysis…

Win Probability

755025DET bats firstFinalSEA win %DET win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 54% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Zach McKinstry — Single
Top 11th · off Carlos Vargas
+30.2%
Josh Naylor — Groundout
Bot 11th · off Keider Montero
+27.0%
Kerry Carpenter — Home Run
Top 5th · off George Kirby
+22.6%
Javier Báez — Groundout
Top 11th · off Carlos Vargas
+21.1%
Riley Greene — Strikeout
Top 10th · off Andrés Muñoz
+14.3%

Top Batters by WPA

Julio Rodríguez+19.6%+1.4 RE24
Zach McKinstry+17.4%-0.3 RE24
Kerry Carpenter+11.8%+0.9 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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