MLB Recap · July 4, 2025

St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs: Final Score & Recap

STL3
Final
CHC11

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
STL000100002340
CHC22301030-11130

The Story

AI recap unavailable for archived games. The final score, win-probability story, biggest plays, and top performers are all shown below.

Win Probability

755025STL bats firstFinalCHC win %STL win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 61.4% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Michael Busch Home Run
Bot 2nd · off Miles Mikolas
+5.7%
Kyle Tucker Strikeout
Bot 2nd · off Miles Mikolas
+5.0%
Pete Crow-Armstrong Home Run
Bot 3rd · off Miles Mikolas
+4.6%
Carson Kelly Home Run
Bot 2nd · off Miles Mikolas
+4.5%
Michael Busch Home Run
Bot 3rd · off Miles Mikolas
+4.4%

Top Batters by WPA

Michael Busch+11.0%+4.6 RE24
Pete Crow-Armstrong+6.9%+2.4 RE24
Kyle Tucker+4.5%-0.8 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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