MLB Recap · August 24, 2024

Texas Rangers at Cleveland Guardians: Final Score & Recap

TEX5
Final
CLE13

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
TEX100000202590
CLE13401211-13161

The Story

The Cleveland Guardians handed the Texas Rangers a lopsided 13-5 defeat at Progressive Field on August 24, 2024, pulling away decisively after the opening frame. The DiamondIQ model entered the game favoring Cleveland at 65% and climbed to 100% certainty by the final out, a reflection of how thoroughly the Guardians controlled the contest once they seized momentum in the early innings.

The decisive stretch came in the second and third innings, with starter Jon Gray absorbing the damage. In the bottom of the second, a Steven Kwan double was the single most impactful play of the game, shifting win probability by plus-12.5 percentage points, and an Andrés Giménez single followed to push Cleveland's advantage further, adding another 6.7 points. The Guardians continued their assault in the third, when Jhonkensy Noel connected on a home run off Gray for a 6.4-point swing, and Will Brennan added a double worth 5.0 points. Texas managed its lone bright moment in the top of the first, when Wyatt Langford reached on a forceout off Ben Lively for a 4.9-point swing, but the Rangers never built on that early foothold and were outscored 12-4 across the remaining eight innings.

Kwan led all players in WPA, finishing at plus-13.8 with an RE24 of plus-1.8, while Noel posted the game's highest RE24 at plus-2.3 to go with a plus-9.2 WPA mark. Giménez contributed plus-7.2 WPA on the night. On the pitching side, Lively was the only Texas arm to register a positive WPA at plus-1.2, while Pedro Avila and Dane Dunning each finished at zero, underscoring a night when Cleveland's offense, not Cleveland's pitching, did the heavy lifting.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025TEX bats firstFinalCLE win %TEX win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 64.8% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Steven Kwan Double
Bot 2nd · off Jon Gray
+12.5%
Andrés Giménez Single
Bot 2nd · off Jon Gray
+6.7%
Jhonkensy Noel Home Run
Bot 3rd · off Jon Gray
+6.4%
Will Brennan Double
Bot 3rd · off Jon Gray
+5.0%
Wyatt Langford Forceout
Top 1st · off Ben Lively
+4.9%

Top Batters by WPA

Steven Kwan+13.8%+1.8 RE24
Jhonkensy Noel+9.2%+2.3 RE24
Andrés Giménez+7.2%+0.6 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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