MLB Recap · August 24, 2024

Philadelphia Phillies at Kansas City Royals: Final Score & Recap

PHI11
Final
KC2

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
PHI00101305111180
KC000010100250

The Story

The Philadelphia Phillies routed the Kansas City Royals 11-2 at Kauffman Stadium on August 24, 2024, finishing off a game the DiamondIQ model had opened as a near coin flip — 52% in favor of Kansas City — and driving that probability to zero by the final out. Philadelphia's offense accumulated 18 hits against a Royals club that managed just five, and the Phillies committed no errors across nine innings, a sharp and efficient road performance from start to finish.

The game's decisive sequence ran through the fifth and sixth innings, with Bryce Harper's double off Brady Singer in the top of the fifth shifting win probability by 12.9 percentage points and Ranger Suarez holding Kansas City to a single Freddy Fermin run in the bottom half that nudged the Royals' chances up only 10.6 points before Philadelphia reasserted control. The knockout blow came in the top of the sixth, when J.T. Realmuto launched a home run off Singer that swung win probability 17.8 points in Philadelphia's favor. Kansas City had a brief counter in the seventh, as Michael Massey's double off José Ruiz gained 12.2 points for the home side, but Fermin's sac fly off Ruiz immediately erased that swing at negative 12.2 points, halting any momentum. Philadelphia then added five runs in the eighth to close out the scoring.

Realmuto finished as the game's top performer by the DiamondIQ model's estimate, contributing a cumulative 20.7% in win probability added and a run expectancy of plus 3.9, while Bryson Stott added 12.3% WPA and a RE24 of plus 2.0. On the pitching side, Ranger Suarez led the staff with 11.7% WPA, keeping the Royals largely quiet through his time on the mound and giving the Philadelphia offense the footing it needed to turn a close game into a blowout.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025PHI bats firstFinalKC win %PHI win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 51.6% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

J.T. Realmuto Home Run
Top 6th · off Brady Singer
+17.8%
Bryce Harper Double
Top 5th · off Brady Singer
+12.9%
Michael Massey Double
Bot 7th · off José Ruiz
+12.2%
Freddy Fermin Sac Fly
Bot 7th · off José Ruiz
-12.2%
Freddy Fermin Single
Bot 5th · off Ranger Suarez
+10.6%

Top Batters by WPA

J.T. Realmuto+20.7%+3.9 RE24
Michael Massey+16.4%+1.3 RE24
Bryson Stott+12.3%+2.0 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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