Los Angeles Dodgers at Milwaukee Brewers: Final Score & Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers defeated the Milwaukee Brewers 7-2 on August 13, 2024, at American Family Field, turning what the DiamondIQ model opened as a near coin-flip — a 51 percent home win probability for Milwaukee — into a complete Dodgers wire-to-wire performance that closed with the Brewers at zero percent.

The game's decisive stretch came in the third and fourth innings, where Los Angeles battered Brewers starter Colin Rea for a collection of home runs that effectively ended the contest. Shohei Ohtani got things going in the top of the third with a home run off Rea, a swing that carried a win-probability swing of plus-10.4 percent. Milwaukee responded in the bottom half when William Contreras connected off Gavin Stone for a solo home run, a plus-10.5 percent swing that briefly tightened the game. That momentum proved short-lived. In the top of the fourth, Gavin Lux delivered the single biggest play of the night, a home run off Rea worth plus-15.7 percent in win probability, and Andy Pages added another home run in the same frame for an additional plus-7.1 percent swing. Los Angeles scored five runs in the fourth alone, effectively separating the game from any further drama. The Brewers' most damaging negative moment came in the bottom of the second, when Joey Ortiz struck out against Stone, a minus-7.4 percent swing that underscored Milwaukee's inability to build early.

Gavin Lux led all batters by WPA at plus-14.6 percent with a plus-0.7 RE24, while Ohtani finished at plus-10.3 percent WPA. On the mound, Gavin Stone was the standout, finishing with a plus-6.7 percent WPA contribution despite surrendering the Contreras home run. The Dodgers finished with 13 hits and committed no errors, while Milwaukee managed only six hits and one error across nine innings.