Texas Rangers at New York Yankees: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEX | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 16 | 1 |
| NYY | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
The Story
The Texas Rangers handed the New York Yankees a 9-4 defeat at Yankee Stadium on August 9, 2024, erasing what the DiamondIQ model had estimated as a 65 percent pre-game home win probability for New York. The Rangers generated all their damage in a three-inning stretch from the sixth through the seventh, scoring five runs in the top of the sixth and three more in the top of the seventh while holding the Yankees scoreless through most of the contest. New York managed just a single run in the second inning and three in the bottom of the eighth when the game was already out of reach. Texas finished with 16 hits against New York's eight, and the final win probability for the Yankees settled at zero percent.
The decisive moment came in the top of the sixth inning, when Corey Seager connected on a home run off Luke Weaver that swung win probability by 20.4 points in Texas's favor. Seager finished as the game's top batter by WPA at plus-18.8 percent with a RE24 of plus-1.5. That same inning, a Carson Kelly walk added another 12.7 points of win probability, and a Leody Taveras single contributed 8.8 more, all off Weaver, effectively collapsing New York's chances in a single frame. On the other side of the ledger, Aaron Judge grounded into a double play in the bottom of the third against Cody Bradford, a sequence that cost the Yankees 10.4 points of win probability at a moment when New York still had a realistic path to victory.
Cody Bradford led all pitchers with a WPA of plus-18.3 percent, suppressing the Yankees' lineup effectively through the early innings and neutralizing New York's best scoring opportunities. Gerrit Cole contributed plus-6.8 percent WPA for the Yankees, and José Leclerc added plus-2.4 percent in relief for Texas. Adolis García and Nathaniel Lowe also stood out offensively, posting WPA figures of plus-10.2 and plus-9.1 percent respectively, helping Texas build a lineup-wide attack that overwhelmed a Yankees club the DiamondIQ model had favored heavily before first pitch.