New York Mets at Seattle Mariners: Final Score & Recap

The Seattle Mariners blanked the New York Mets 6-0 on August 9, 2024, at T-Mobile Park, a result the DiamondIQ model's estimate saw coming as the final win probability settled at 100 percent after opening with Seattle holding a 54 percent pre-game advantage. The Mariners did their damage in two concentrated bursts. Ryan Bliss provided the game's first decisive moment with a second-inning home run off Jose Quintana that swung win probability 12.7 percent in Seattle's favor, and that blow would prove to be the foundation of the entire outcome. The Mets had chances to respond, but the seventh inning encapsulated their offensive futility: with Jose Quintana still on the mound, Leo Rivas delivered a single that added 11.4 percent to Seattle's win probability, and on the New York side, Mark Vientos grounded into a double play off Collin Snider that erased 10.9 percent of whatever slim hopes remained. J.D. Martinez drew a walk to push the probability needle back 6.0 percent momentarily, but Francisco Alvarez followed with a flyout to close the door on any rally.

Bryce Miller was the unambiguous story of the night on the mound, posting a staggering plus-25.9 percent WPA that led all players in the game and reflected how thoroughly he shut down the Mets lineup, which managed seven hits but never scored. The New York offense collected those hits without converting a single run, finishing with an error-free but entirely unproductive night at the plate. Ryan Bliss and Leo Rivas paced Seattle's offensive contributors with nearly identical WPA figures of plus-9.5 and plus-9.4 percent respectively, while Rivas also led position players with a RE24 of plus-1.4. Collin Snider added plus-7.2 percent WPA in relief to close out the seventh. Jeff McNeil was the lone Met to register a positive WPA at plus-3.3 percent, though his RE24 of minus-0.2 illustrated the team's broader inability to generate run value throughout the contest.