MLB Recap · August 9, 2024

Los Angeles Angels at Washington Nationals: Final Score & Recap

LAA2
Final
WSH3

Line Score

Team12345678910RHE
LAA02000000002102
WSH1000000101373

The Story

The Washington Nationals walked off the Los Angeles Angels 3-2 in ten innings on August 9, 2024, at Nationals Park, completing a comeback that the DiamondIQ model tracked from a 55% pregame home win probability all the way to 100% by game's end. The Angels had grabbed an early lead when Jo Adell launched a home run off Mitchell Parker in the second inning, a swing that shifted win probability by 8.7 points in Los Angeles's favor. Washington answered with a run in the bottom of that same frame, and the game settled into a prolonged stalemate through the middle innings before Luis García Jr. delivered a single off José Quijada in the eighth that nudged the Nationals' chances by 9.4 points, eventually knotting the game at two.

The decisive sequence unfolded in the tenth inning. Nasim Nuñez laid down a sacrifice bunt off Matt Moore that shifted Washington's win probability by 19.5 points, the single most impactful play of the game, advancing the automatic runner into scoring position. Alex Call then ended it with a walk-off single off Ben Joyce, a hit worth 16.4 points of win probability. Call finished as the top position player by WPA at plus-19.5, while Anthony Rendon contributed plus-14.0 WPA and García Jr. checked in at plus-11.8. On the pitching side, José Soriano led all pitchers with a remarkable plus-31.7 WPA, with Jacob Barnes adding plus-16.5 in support. The Nationals' final line of three runs on seven hits included three errors, while the Angels stranded opportunity across ten innings despite generating ten hits of their own.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025LAA bats firstFinalWSH win %LAA win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 55.3% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Nasim Nuñez Sac Bunt
Bot 10th · off Matt Moore
+19.5%
Alex Call Single
Bot 10th · off Ben Joyce
+16.4%
Jacob Young Lineout
Bot 9th · off Matt Moore
+11.0%
Luis García Jr. Single
Bot 8th · off José Quijada
+9.4%
Jo Adell Home Run
Top 2nd · off Mitchell Parker
+8.7%

Top Batters by WPA

Alex Call+19.5%+0.8 RE24
Anthony Rendon+14.0%+0.1 RE24
Luis García Jr.+11.8%+0.4 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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