Texas Rangers at Milwaukee Brewers: Final Score & Recap

The Milwaukee Brewers defeated the Texas Rangers 3-1 on June 25, 2024, at American Family Field, a result that moved the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Milwaukee win from 65% before first pitch to a certainty by the final out. Texas managed just five hits and never threatened to add to its lone first-inning run, finishing the game without an error but without much offensive menace either. Milwaukee's eight hits were spread efficiently across the lineup, and the Brewers' pitching staff kept Rangers hitters largely in check throughout.

The game's most consequential sequence came in the bottom of the fifth, when Joey Ortiz connected on a home run off Andrew Heaney that shifted win probability by plus 12.4 percentage points in Milwaukee's favor. That swing proved to be the single biggest momentum shift of the night. Rhys Hoskins added the second-largest impact play with a single off Dane Dunning in the seventh inning, worth plus 11.7 percentage points, effectively closing the door on any Texas comeback. Jackson Chourio's single off Heaney in the third, a plus 10.1 percentage point swing, had earlier helped Milwaukee build its cushion after the Rangers grabbed the game's first run.

Among individual performers tracked by the DiamondIQ model, Rhys Hoskins led all batters with a WPA of plus 10.8 and an RE24 of plus 0.8, while Jonah Heim posted a plus 9.8 WPA mark. On the pitching side, Bryse Wilson was the decisive figure, accumulating a plus 40.7 WPA, the highest mark of any player on either side. Heaney finished with a plus 10.4 WPA despite surrendering the Ortiz home run, suggesting he limited further damage against a Brewers lineup that had its moments of early threat.