MLB Recap · June 24, 2024

Texas Rangers at Milwaukee Brewers: Final Score & Recap

TEX3
Final
MIL6

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
TEX000021000370
MIL00001500-681

The Story

The Milwaukee Brewers defeated the Texas Rangers 6-3 on June 24, 2024, at American Family Field in a game that remained tightly contested through four scoreless innings before breaking open dramatically in the fifth and sixth. The DiamondIQ model entered the game favoring Milwaukee at 64% and ultimately settled at 100% by the final out, reflecting how completely the Brewers seized control once the scoring began.

Texas made the first meaningful move in the top of the fifth, when Marcus Semien delivered a single off Freddy Peralta that shifted win probability 11.3 points in the Rangers' favor, and Corey Seager followed with another single worth 9.5 points, helping Texas scratch across two runs to take an early lead. Milwaukee responded with a run of its own in the bottom of the fifth, then detonated in the sixth. Adolis García kept Texas in contention briefly with a solo home run off Elvis Peguero that added 12.1 points of win probability in the top half of the inning, but the Brewers answered with a five-run bottom sixth that effectively ended the contest. Willy Adames drew a walk off Jacob Latz that swung the model 10.3 points toward Milwaukee, and Rhys Hoskins then delivered the knockout blow with a home run off Latz that shifted win probability a game-high 29.3 points.

Hoskins finished as the game's top performer by WPA at plus-25.1 with a RE24 of plus-1.6, while García was the standout for Texas at plus-20.1 WPA and plus-1.0 RE24 despite being on the losing side. Adames contributed plus-5.3 WPA for Milwaukee. On the mound, Michael Lorenzen paced the Brewers' pitching staff with plus-8.5 WPA, supported by Jared Koenig at plus-5.0 and Joel Payamps at plus-4.5, as Milwaukee's bullpen held Texas scoreless across the final three innings to close out the win.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025TEX bats firstFinalMIL win %TEX win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 64.5% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Rhys Hoskins Home Run
Bot 6th · off Jacob Latz
+29.3%
Adolis García Home Run
Top 6th · off Elvis Peguero
+12.1%
Marcus Semien Single
Top 5th · off Freddy Peralta
+11.3%
Willy Adames Walk
Bot 6th · off Jacob Latz
+10.3%
Corey Seager Single
Top 5th · off Freddy Peralta
+9.5%

Top Batters by WPA

Rhys Hoskins+25.1%+1.6 RE24
Adolis García+20.1%+1.0 RE24
Willy Adames+5.3%+0.4 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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