Los Angeles Angels at Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Recap

The Los Angeles Angels handed the Los Angeles Dodgers a 3-2 defeat in extra innings on June 21, 2024, at Dodger Stadium, erasing what the DiamondIQ model had estimated as a 73 percent pre-game probability of a Dodgers victory and running that figure all the way to zero by the final out. The game was scoreless through four innings before Shohei Ohtani broke the deadlock with a home run off Matt Moore in the bottom of the fifth, a swing that added 23.6 percent to the Dodgers' win probability and gave Los Angeles its first lead. The Angels answered in the sixth with two runs to take a 2-2 advantage, and neither side could push across another run through the ninth, forcing the game to extra innings with a ghost runner in play.

The decisive sequence unfolded in the tenth. Taylor Ward delivered a go-ahead single off Evan Phillips that shifted win probability by 28.5 percent in the Angels' favor, giving them a 3-2 lead they would not relinquish. The Dodgers were unable to answer in the bottom half, as Jason Heyward grounded out against Carlos Estévez — a play that moved the Angels' win probability up another 23.7 percent — and Enrique Hernández struck out to close the door, a swing-and-miss that cost the Dodgers 25.9 percent in win probability. Ward finished as the game's top performer by the DiamondIQ model's measure at plus-41.9 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus-1.6, while Ohtani led all batters in run-environment impact at plus-2.8 RE24 despite finishing on the losing side with plus-31.4 percent WPA. On the mound, Ben Joyce, Hunter Strickland, and Patrick Sandoval each contributed meaningful ground-ball and strikeout work for the Angels bullpen, posting WPA figures of plus-15.3, plus-15.1, and plus-12.0 percent respectively to preserve the upset.