Seattle Mariners at Cleveland Guardians: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| CLE | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | 6 | 9 | 0 |
The Story
The Cleveland Guardians defeated the Seattle Mariners 6-3 at Progressive Field on June 20, 2024, a result the DiamondIQ model's estimate had leaning toward Cleveland from the outset at 61% pre-game home win probability, with that figure climbing to 100% by the final out. The game's decisive sequence came in the bottom of the fifth, where Andrés Giménez delivered a home run off Luis Castillo that added 25.2% in win probability, swinging the contest firmly in Cleveland's favor. Josh Naylor followed with a double off Castillo in that same frame, contributing another 10.5% swing as the Guardians plated three runs in the inning to build a lead they would not relinquish.
Seattle had moments where it threatened to change the complexion of the game. Ryan Bliss provided the Mariners their most productive offensive contributions, posting a double off Logan Allen in the fourth that added 10.8% win probability and drawing a walk off Tim Herrin in the seventh for an additional 8.6%. However, those rallies came to nothing, and Dylan Moore's ground into a double play off Cade Smith in the seventh removed 14.0% win probability from Seattle's outlook, effectively sealing the outcome.
Giménez finished as the game's top batter by WPA at plus 24.3%, matching Will Brennan's RE24 figure of plus 2.1, while Bliss led Seattle with plus 22.4% WPA despite the loss. On the mound, Cade Smith was the standout performer, contributing plus 22.1% win probability in relief as Cleveland held the Mariners to five hits and no errors across nine innings.