Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 |
| WSH | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | 8 | 12 | 1 |
The Story
The Washington Nationals handed the Miami Marlins an 8-1 defeat at Nationals Park on June 14, 2024, a result the DiamondIQ model's estimate tracked steadily toward certainty after opening with a 68% pre-game home win probability and finishing at 100%. Washington scored all but one of its runs in a decisive third inning that effectively ended any competitive tension the game might have carried.
The third inning was the turning point in full, and Lane Thomas was at the center of it. His home run off Shaun Anderson in the bottom of the third was the single biggest swing of the contest, adding 24.2% to Washington's win probability and punctuating a seven-run frame that put the Marlins out of reach. Eddie Rosario's double and CJ Abrams' single earlier in the inning each contributed 6.7% in win probability, while Joey Meneses added a single worth 5.7%. The only notable momentum check came in the bottom of the second, when Nick Senzel grounded into a forceout off Anderson, a play that subtracted 8.9% from Washington's probability at a moment when the home side had yet to score.
By the final numbers, Thomas was Washington's most valuable offensive contributor, finishing with a WPA of plus 24.4% and a RE24 of plus 1.9. Abrams was close behind at plus 8.8% WPA and a RE24 of plus 2.0, while Jake Burger added plus 6.3% WPA on the night. Miami's pitching staff, led on the mound by Anderson and Brazobán, absorbed the bulk of the damage, as Washington scattered 12 hits against a Marlins club that committed two errors and managed only seven hits in a lopsided loss.