Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 1 |
| DET | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 2 |
The Story
The Washington Nationals defeated the Detroit Tigers 7-5 at Comerica Park on June 12, 2024, handing Detroit a loss despite the DiamondIQ model entering the game with a 54 percent win probability favoring the home side. Washington scattered 13 hits and overcame a Detroit team that produced 12 of its own, with the Nationals ultimately pulling away on the strength of a decisive fifth inning and a critical pitching performance in the late innings.
The game's most significant shift came in the bottom of the eighth, when Gio Urshela delivered a double off Dylan Floro that swung win probability 33.8 percent in Detroit's favor, cutting into what had been a comfortable Nationals lead and briefly making the game competitive. However, Carson Kelly's pop out against Hunter Harvey two batters later reversed much of that momentum, swinging win probability 18.7 percent back toward Washington. Harvey was the most valuable pitcher on the night by the DiamondIQ model's estimate, finishing with a 36.7 percent win-probability contribution. Colt Keith added a single off Floro in that same eighth-inning sequence worth 11.6 percent, and the Tigers did eventually plate three runs in the frame, but it proved insufficient. Washington extended its cushion with a two-run ninth, and Mark Canha's groundout in Detroit's final half-inning added 14.4 percent to Washington's win probability by ending a threat.
Among position players, Urshela led all batters with a 36.5 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus-1.5 despite playing for the losing side, a reflection of how dangerous that eighth-inning rally appeared in real time. For Washington, Joey Meneses posted the strongest run-environment contribution at plus-2.8 RE24 to go with a 17.3 percent WPA, while CJ Abrams contributed 12.1 percent in win probability. Jesse Winker's fifth-inning single off Reese Olson, worth 11.2 percent, helped fuel the three-run frame that gave Washington a lead it would not relinquish. Jake Irvin added 18.4 percent to the pitching ledger for the Nationals, supporting Harvey in securing the road victory.