Oakland Athletics at San Diego Padres: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OAK | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
| SD | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - | 6 | 10 | 0 |
The Story
The San Diego Padres handled the Oakland Athletics convincingly at Petco Park on June 10, 2024, winning 6-1 behind a dominant pitching performance and timely power from their lineup. The DiamondIQ model entered the game favoring San Diego with a 65 percent home win probability, and that figure climbed steadily to 100 percent by the final out. Oakland managed eight hits but crossed the plate just once, committing an error along the way, while the Padres collected ten hits and ran clean in the field.
Oakland starter Joey Estes absorbed the brunt of the damage across a difficult outing. The most consequential sequence came in the second inning, where a Luis Arraez flyout represented the game's single biggest swing in either direction, costing San Diego 12.4 percent in win probability by stranding a threat. The Padres quickly recovered, as Jake Cronenworth hit a home run off Estes in the third inning for a gain of 11.2 percent, and Fernando Tatis Jr. added another solo shot in the fifth worth 10.6 percent. A three-run seventh inning closed out the scoring and rendered any Oakland comeback academic. On the Oakland side, the most damaging moment came in the top of the sixth when Abraham Toro grounded out against Dylan Cease, a play that cost the Athletics 5.8 percent in win probability at a moment when the game was still theoretically within reach.
Ha-Seong Kim led all position players by WPA at plus-14.5 percent to go with a RE24 of plus-1.5, with his second-inning walk off Estes contributing 6.4 percent on its own. Cronenworth finished at plus-11.4 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus-1.6, making his third-inning home run the single most valuable offensive play of the game in run-expectancy terms. Miguel Andujar added plus-8.0 percent WPA for Oakland in a losing effort. On the mound, Dylan Cease was the clear standout, posting plus-12.9 percent WPA to pace all pitchers, with Adrian Morejon and Jeremiah Estrada providing reliable bullpen support at plus-3.9 and plus-3.3 percent respectively.