MLB Recap · June 9, 2024

Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Yankees: Final Score & Recap

LAD4
Final
NYY6

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
LAD000021010490
NYY00200301-690

The Story

The New York Yankees defeated the Los Angeles Dodgers 6-4 on June 9, 2024, at Yankee Stadium, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a New York win moving from 62 percent before first pitch to a certainty by game's end. The Yankees built their lead quietly, scoring twice in the third before the Dodgers mounted a response, and the decisive sequence of the game arrived in the bottom of the sixth inning when Trent Grisham connected on a home run off Tyler Glasnow, a swing that shifted win probability by 31.5 percent in New York's favor and effectively reestablished the Yankees' control after the Dodgers had threatened to take the lead. Los Angeles had briefly narrowed the gap in the top of that same inning, as Teoscar Hernández hit a home run off Luis Gil that added 14.6 percent to the Dodgers' win probability, and Mookie Betts had earlier kept the Dodgers in contention with a double in the fifth that represented a 17.1 percent swing. However, Betts grounded into a double play in the seventh off Luke Weaver, a momentum-killing sequence that cost the Dodgers 14.0 percent in win probability at a moment when they still had a chance to close the deficit.

Grisham finished as the game's most impactful offensive performer, accumulating a WPA of plus-31.7 percent and a RE24 of plus-2.6, while Aaron Judge added to New York's cushion with a home run off Yohan Ramírez in the eighth for a 12.0 percent swing, closing with a WPA of plus-20.2 percent and a RE24 of plus-1.9. On the mound, Luke Weaver was the most valuable Yankees reliever by the DiamondIQ model's accounting, contributing plus-12.0 percent in WPA, with Clay Holmes adding plus-6.3 percent. For the Dodgers, Caleb Ferguson was the pitching staff's weakest link by WPA, finishing at minus-7.3 percent. Both teams finished with nine hits and committed no errors, making the difference a matter of timely hitting, with the Yankees simply converting their opportunities at more consequential moments.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025LAD bats firstFinalNYY win %LAD win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 62% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Trent Grisham Home Run
Bot 6th · off Tyler Glasnow
+31.5%
Mookie Betts Double
Top 5th · off Luis Gil
+17.1%
Teoscar Hernández Home Run
Top 6th · off Luis Gil
+14.6%
Mookie Betts Grounded Into DP
Top 7th · off Luke Weaver
-14.0%
Aaron Judge Home Run
Bot 8th · off Yohan Ramírez
+12.0%

Top Batters by WPA

Trent Grisham+31.7%+2.6 RE24
Aaron Judge+20.2%+1.9 RE24
Teoscar Hernández+14.3%+1.4 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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