MLB Recap · June 9, 2024

Milwaukee Brewers at Detroit Tigers: Final Score & Recap

MIL2
Final
DET10

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
MIL000000101270
DET20008000-10120

The Story

The Detroit Tigers routed the Milwaukee Brewers 10-2 at Comerica Park on June 9, 2024, turning what opened as a nearly even contest into a decisive home victory. The DiamondIQ model entered the game assigning Detroit a 45 percent win probability, but by the final out that figure had climbed to 100 percent, reflecting how thoroughly the Tigers controlled the afternoon. The game remained scoreless through four innings before Detroit erupted for eight runs in the bottom of the fifth, effectively ending any competitive tension. Milwaukee managed just two runs, one each in the seventh and ninth innings, finishing with seven hits against no errors while the Tigers collected 12 hits in an equally clean defensive performance.

The biggest swing of the game came earlier than the decisive fifth inning, when Andruw Monasterio's lineout in the top of the second against Tarik Skubal carried a negative win-probability impact of 8.8 percent for Milwaukee, signaling the Brewers were already squandering opportunities to take control. On the Detroit side, Gio Urshela's single off Bryse Wilson in the bottom of the fifth added 7.1 percent to Detroit's win probability, helping ignite the eight-run frame, while Zach McKinstry's groundout to close the bottom of the first had already quietly added 5.7 percent by setting favorable conditions early. Jackson Chourio's lineout in the top of the fourth off Skubal cost Milwaukee another 5.4 percent, compounding the offensive struggles against Detroit's starter.

Riley Greene led all position players by the DiamondIQ model's accounting, posting a WPA of plus-9.2 percent and an RE24 of plus-1.6, while McKinstry contributed plus-9.0 percent WPA across his appearances. Urshela added plus-5.4 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus-0.6. The most dominant individual performance, however, belonged to Tarik Skubal on the mound, whose plus-28.5 percent WPA dwarfed every other contributor and stood as the clearest statistical expression of how thoroughly he neutralized Milwaukee's lineup throughout his outing.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025MIL bats firstFinalDET win %MIL win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 44.7% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Andruw Monasterio Lineout
Top 2nd · off Tarik Skubal
-8.8%
Gio Urshela Single
Bot 5th · off Bryse Wilson
+7.1%
Zach McKinstry Groundout
Bot 1st · off Bryse Wilson
+5.7%
Jackson Chourio Lineout
Top 4th · off Tarik Skubal
-5.4%
Matt Vierling Strikeout
Bot 2nd · off Bryse Wilson
+5.2%

Top Batters by WPA

Riley Greene+9.2%+1.6 RE24
Zach McKinstry+9.0%+0.7 RE24
Gio Urshela+5.4%+0.6 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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