Milwaukee Brewers at Detroit Tigers: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIL | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 3 |
| DET | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
The Story
The Milwaukee Brewers took down the Detroit Tigers 5-4 at Comerica Park on June 8, 2024, handing the home side a loss that the DiamondIQ model's estimate reflected in stark terms — Detroit entered with a 43% win probability and closed at 0%. Milwaukee built its lead through two separate two-run outbursts, scoring twice in the third inning and again in the sixth, while Detroit's three-run second inning represented its best and ultimately insufficient offensive effort. The Brewers finished with 10 hits against 5 for the Tigers, though Milwaukee's three errors to Detroit's two added some turbulence to an otherwise controlled road victory.
The decisive moments were defined by a pair of performances from Mark Canha and Jackson Chourio. Chourio's double off Shelby Miller in the top of the sixth carried a win-probability swing of plus 25.6%, giving Milwaukee the cushion it needed heading into the final innings. Canha was the most impactful bat overall, contributing a plus 34.0% WPA on the night. His single off Freddy Peralta in the top of the second added 10.9% to Milwaukee's win chances, and his flyout in the bottom of the ninth — this time as a defensive event against Trevor Megill — swung win probability by 31.6% in Milwaukee's favor as Detroit's final threat evaporated. Chourio finished at plus 32.0% WPA with a plus 2.3 RE24, the best run-context figure among position players.
Out of the bullpen, the Brewers' relievers shut the door methodically. Joel Payamps led all pitchers with a plus 23.3% WPA, aided in part by Carson Kelly's strikeout in the bottom of the eighth that cost Detroit 12.9% in win probability. Bryan Hudson added plus 13.4% WPA and Jared Koenig contributed plus 10.0%, a collective effort that kept Detroit's lineup off the board after the second inning. Joey Ortiz's ground into a double play in the fourth, worth minus 9.1% WPA for Milwaukee's offense, was one of the few moments that threatened to tighten the game, but the Brewers' pitching staff ultimately preserved the one-run road win.