Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAL | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 1 |
| TB | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 |
The Story
The Baltimore Orioles handed the Tampa Bay Rays a 6-3 defeat at Tropicana Field on June 7, 2024, handing the home side their loss in a game where the DiamondIQ model's pre-game estimate gave Tampa Bay only a 38% chance of winning — a number that dropped to zero by the final out. Baltimore scored in three separate innings, twice in the second, twice in the fifth, and twice in the eighth, while Tampa Bay's responses never proved enough to close the gap.
The two most consequential swings of the game came via the long ball. Ryan Mountcastle's fifth-inning home run off Aaron Civale shifted win probability by plus 21.2 percentage points, the single largest play of the contest, and it arrived at a moment when the Rays had kept things within reach. Jordan Westburg added a home run in the eighth off Chris Devenski that moved the needle another plus 16.1 points, effectively sealing the outcome. Ryan O'Hearn's double in that same eighth inning contributed an additional plus 8.4 points. Tampa Bay's most meaningful responses came from Taylor Walls, whose sixth-inning single off Cole Irvin was worth plus 10.4 points, and Randy Arozarena, whose third-inning double off the same pitcher added plus 9.1 points, but neither sparked a sustained rally.
By win probability added, Mountcastle finished as the game's top offensive performer at plus 18.2 WPA and plus 1.6 RE24, followed by Westburg at plus 15.7 WPA and plus 1.1 RE24. On the Tampa Bay side, Jose Siri was the club's best at plus 10.9 WPA and plus 1.1 RE24. Out of the Baltimore bullpen, Jacob Webb led all pitchers at plus 11.3 WPA, with Yennier Cano and Richard Lovelady adding plus 5.2 and plus 4.4 respectively as the Orioles locked down the final innings.