Toronto Blue Jays at Oakland Athletics: Final Score & Recap

The Oakland Athletics walked off the Toronto Blue Jays 2-1 on June 7, 2024, at the Oakland Coliseum, with JJ Bleday's ninth-inning home run off Chad Green delivering the decisive blow. The DiamondIQ model had entered the game giving Oakland a 46% chance of winning, but by the time Bleday connected, that figure had climbed to 100%, with the home run itself accounting for a swing of plus 35.9 win-probability points — the single most consequential play of the night by a wide margin.

For the better part of nine innings, both offenses were largely neutralized. Oakland starter Hogan Harris was among the game's top performers by win probability added, finishing at plus 31.2 points, while Toronto's Chris Bassitt was nearly his equal at plus 30.8 points, underscoring just how tightly the pitching controlled the contest. The Blue Jays managed their lone run in the seventh, where Bo Bichette's single off Austin Adams added plus 11.4 win-probability points and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. followed with a double worth plus 9.8, briefly tilting the game Toronto's way. However, Ernie Clement's pop out to end the inning, a minus 7.5 point swing, left the damage limited to one run. A George Springer double play in the fifth had earlier cost the Blue Jays minus 9.5 points, snuffing out an earlier opportunity.

Bleday finished the night as the game's top performer by win probability at plus 41.0 points with a RE24 of plus 1.2, his walk-off blow erasing Toronto's late lead and sending Oakland to the victory. Mason Miller closed out his relief appearance with a plus 13.5 point contribution, while Bichette's plus 10.4 mark led all Blue Jays hitters. Toronto finished with five hits and no errors, matching Oakland's identical slash line in both categories — a scoreline that made Bleday's ninth-inning swing feel all the more decisive.