MLB Recap · June 2, 2024

Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Recap

COL0
Final
LAD4

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
COL000000000051
LAD20100001-480

The Story

The Los Angeles Dodgers blanked the Colorado Rockies 4-0 at Dodger Stadium on June 2, 2024, a result the DiamondIQ model's estimate largely anticipated, with a pre-game home win probability of 77% that climbed to 100% by game's end. Los Angeles collected 8 hits against Colorado's 5 while committing no errors, while the Rockies committed one error and were held off the board across all nine innings.

The decisive moments came early and were reinforced throughout. Miguel Rojas delivered the game's single biggest win-probability swing with a third-inning single off Austin Gomber that shifted the Dodgers' chances by plus 8.4%, and Freddie Freeman added the most run-environment value of any batter, finishing with a RE24 of plus 1.8. Los Angeles scored twice in the first inning and added single runs in the third and eighth. On the Colorado side, the offense consistently squandered opportunities. Brendan Rodgers grounded into a double play in the sixth inning off Michael Grove, the single largest negative play of the game at minus 8.5% win probability, and Ezequiel Tovar's lineout in the fifth off Gavin Stone cost the Rockies another 6.1% in win probability. Tovar also grounded into a double play in the third, draining a further 5.4%.

The pitching staff drove Los Angeles's dominance in the model's accounting. Gavin Stone led all pitchers with plus 10.3% WPA, followed closely by Michael Grove at plus 10.0% and Peter Lambert at plus 4.6%, collectively stifling a Rockies lineup that could not generate any sustained threat. The DiamondIQ model leans toward Dodger starters on nights when run-prevention aligns this cleanly with lineup suppression, and Stone's performance here was a textbook example of that dynamic playing out.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025COL bats firstFinalLAD win %COL win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 77.4% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Brendan Rodgers Grounded Into DP
Top 6th · off Michael Grove
-8.5%
Miguel Rojas Single
Bot 3rd · off Austin Gomber
+8.4%
Ezequiel Tovar Lineout
Top 5th · off Gavin Stone
-6.1%
Brendan Rodgers Strikeout
Top 1st · off Gavin Stone
+5.6%
Ezequiel Tovar Grounded Into DP
Top 3rd · off Gavin Stone
-5.4%

Top Batters by WPA

Miguel Rojas+7.8%+1.0 RE24
Freddie Freeman+7.6%+1.8 RE24
Ryan McMahon+4.4%+0.7 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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