MLB Recap · May 30, 2024

Oakland Athletics at Tampa Bay Rays: Final Score & Recap

OAK5
Final
TB6

Line Score

Team123456789101112RHE
OAK0040000001005111
TB210000001101661

The Story

The Tampa Bay Rays walked off the Oakland Athletics 6-5 in 12 innings on May 30, 2024, at Tropicana Field, completing a comeback that the DiamondIQ model's estimate had already placed at a 63 percent pre-game home win probability before the first pitch was thrown. Oakland had seized control with a four-run third inning that briefly flipped the game's complexion, but Tampa Bay answered with a two-run first and a run in the second to stay within reach, and the Rays ultimately outlasted the Athletics in extra innings with just six hits to Oakland's eleven.

The game's defining sequence arrived in the bottom of the ninth, when Jose Siri launched a home run off Oakland closer Mason Miller to tie the game, a swing that shifted win probability by plus-47.1 percent and stands as the single most impactful play of the contest by that measure. The tenth inning produced two more critical moments in quick succession: Abraham Toro's RBI single off Pete Fairbanks swung win probability plus-36.5 percent in Oakland's favor, only for Yandy Díaz to draw a walk off Mason Miller in the bottom half that shifted things plus-35.4 percent back toward Tampa Bay, setting the stage for the Rays to eventually push across the winning run in the twelfth. Oakland was also hurt by a pair of costly double plays, including Isaac Paredes grounding into one in the eighth off Austin Adams at minus-32.7 percent and Miguel Andujar doing the same in the tenth at minus-21.0 percent.

Abraham Toro led all position players with a plus-45.9 percent WPA and a plus-2.1 RE24, while Siri was close behind at plus-43.1 percent WPA and plus-1.5 RE24 on the strength of his tying blast. Shea Langeliers contributed plus-34.2 percent WPA and plus-1.6 RE24 for Oakland in a losing effort. On the mound, Austin Adams posted the top pitching WPA of the night at plus-23.3 percent, followed by Kevin Kelly at plus-12.2 percent and Hogan Harris at plus-12.1 percent for the Rays.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025OAK bats firstFinalTB win %OAK win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 63.3% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Jose Siri Home Run
Bot 9th · off Mason Miller
+47.1%
Abraham Toro Single
Top 10th · off Pete Fairbanks
+36.5%
Yandy Díaz Walk
Bot 10th · off Mason Miller
+35.4%
Isaac Paredes Grounded Into DP
Bot 8th · off Austin Adams
-32.7%
Miguel Andujar Grounded Into DP
Top 10th · off Pete Fairbanks
-21.0%

Top Batters by WPA

Abraham Toro+45.9%+2.1 RE24
Jose Siri+43.1%+1.5 RE24
Shea Langeliers+34.2%+1.6 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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