MLB Recap · March 6, 2024

Oakland Athletics at Los Angeles Angels: Final Score & Recap

OAK12
Final
LAA5

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
OAK30012100512170
LAA010040000531

The Story

The Oakland Athletics routed the Los Angeles Angels 12-5 on March 6, 2024, at Tempe Diablo Stadium, building a lead that proved insurmountable despite a brief moment of life from the home club. The DiamondIQ model opened with the Angels as slight favorites at 54% pre-game win probability, but that figure collapsed to 0% by the final out. Oakland finished with 17 hits and committed no errors, while Los Angeles managed just 3 hits and allowed an error.

The fifth inning served as the pivotal stretch in both directions. Mike Trout briefly resuscitated the Angels with a home run off Scott Alexander that added 25.0% to Los Angeles's win probability, the single largest swing of the game, though it ultimately proved cosmetic given the final margin. Earlier in that same inning, JJ Bleday's double off Carlos Estévez had already shifted the balance by 9.9% in Oakland's favor, and Miguel Andujar had deposited a home run off Patrick Sandoval in the top of the fourth for an 8.9% swing. Oakland then piled on five runs in the ninth to finalize the blowout. Trout, despite his home run, finished with a net WPA of plus-14.5%, largely because two early plate appearances — a strikeout in the first that cost Los Angeles 8.0% and a groundout from Jordyn Adams in the second that cost another 8.5% — swung momentum decisively toward the Athletics before Trout's big swing arrived.

On the pitching side, Joey Estes led all performers with a WPA of plus-22.1%, followed by Joe Boyle at plus-17.4% and Michael Kelly at plus-14.7%, as the Oakland staff collectively suppressed the Angels to three hits across nine innings. Lawrence Butler contributed offensively with a WPA of plus-9.0% and an RE24 of plus-0.5, while Taylor Ward posted plus-10.9% WPA and plus-1.0 RE24 to round out the Athletics' most impactful contributors. The DiamondIQ model's estimates reflected a game that Oakland controlled from the early innings forward, with Los Angeles never sustaining enough offense to mount a credible challenge.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025OAK bats firstFinalLAA win %OAK win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 54% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Mike Trout Home Run
Bot 5th · off Scott Alexander
+25.0%
JJ Bleday Double
Top 5th · off Carlos Estévez
+9.9%
Miguel Andujar Home Run
Top 4th · off Patrick Sandoval
+8.9%
Jordyn Adams Groundout
Bot 2nd · off Joe Boyle
-8.5%
Mike Trout Strikeout
Bot 1st · off Joe Boyle
-8.0%

Top Batters by WPA

Mike Trout+14.5%+2.4 RE24
Taylor Ward+10.9%+1.0 RE24
Lawrence Butler+9.0%+0.5 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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