MLB Recap · February 29, 2024

Cleveland Guardians at Los Angeles Angels: Final Score & Recap

CLE1
Final
LAA4

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
CLE000000001140
LAA00120001-461

The Story

The Los Angeles Angels defeated the Cleveland Guardians 4-1 on February 29, 2024, at Tempe Diablo Stadium, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a home win probability moving from 54% before the game to 100% by its conclusion. The Angels built their lead methodically through the middle innings, holding Cleveland to a single run on four hits while committing one error against the Guardians' none.

The pivotal sequence began in the bottom of the third when Zach Neto connected on a home run off Tim Herrin, a swing that added 10.9% to the Angels' win probability and set the tone for what followed. The fourth inning proved equally decisive for Los Angeles, as Mike Trout delivered a double off Anthony Banda worth 5.8% in win probability, and Anthony Rendon followed with a run-producing single adding another 5.2%. Cleveland's David Fry grounded out in the top of the fourth against Chase Silseth, a sequence that shifted the win probability 4.4% further in the Angels' favor and effectively ended any momentum Cleveland might have generated. A Taylor Ward groundout into a double play in the bottom half, while technically a negative outcome for the batter, resulted in a 6.1% win-probability gain for Los Angeles by ending a Cleveland threat.

Among individual performers, Neto led all batters with a WPA of plus 10.4% and a RE24 of plus 0.7, while Rendon and Trout contributed plus 5.4% and plus 4.7% in win probability added, respectively. On the mound, Chase Silseth paced all pitchers with a WPA of plus 11.1%, with Gavin Williams adding plus 6.7% and Davis Daniel contributing plus 5.0% in support of the Angels' complete team effort in the victory.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025CLE bats firstFinalLAA win %CLE win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 54% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Zach Neto Home Run
Bot 3rd · off Tim Herrin
+10.9%
Taylor Ward Grounded Into DP
Bot 4th · off Anthony Banda
+6.1%
Mike Trout Double
Bot 4th · off Anthony Banda
+5.8%
Anthony Rendon Single
Bot 4th · off Anthony Banda
+5.2%
David Fry Groundout
Top 4th · off Chase Silseth
-4.4%

Top Batters by WPA

Zach Neto+10.4%+0.7 RE24
Anthony Rendon+5.4%+0.3 RE24
Mike Trout+4.7%+0.5 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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