San Francisco Giants at Texas Rangers: Final Score & Recap

The San Francisco Giants and Texas Rangers played to a 0-0 tie on February 25, 2024, at Surprise Stadium, with each side finishing with three hits and no errors across nine innings. The DiamondIQ model's estimate opened with Texas holding a 54% win probability, a figure that ultimately settled at 0% as neither club managed to push a run across.

The seventh inning produced the game's most consequential sequence in terms of win-probability movement. David Villar's double off Austin Pruitt shifted the Giants' win probability by plus-9.4%, briefly handing San Francisco its best scoring opportunity of the afternoon. That swing, however, was neutralized almost immediately when Chase Pinder followed with a flyout that moved the needle minus-9.7%, and Otto Lopez's lineout to close the frame added another minus-7.0% impact, effectively erasing the threat Villar had created. On the Texas side, the ninth inning saw Sandro Fabian's strikeout off Spencer Bivens register as the single largest win-probability swing of the game at plus-14.0%, preserving the draw by ending any remaining Giants momentum. Aaron Zavala's strikeout in the bottom of the eighth against José Cruz was also a pivotal moment, shifting minus-9.3% against the Rangers' chances of walking it off.

Among individual performers, Sandro Fabian led all batters with a plus-11.3% WPA, though his minus-0.3 RE24 reflected the limited run-environment context of his contributions. Davis Wendzel posted plus-5.8% WPA alongside a plus-0.4 RE24, and Marcus Semien added plus-5.3% WPA with a plus-0.3 RE24. On the mound, Shane Greene led all pitchers at plus-13.5% WPA, followed by Adrian Sampson at plus-11.0% and José Cruz at plus-10.9%, underscoring how thoroughly the pitching staffs on both sides dominated what was ultimately a scoreless spring exhibition.