Arizona Diamondbacks at Texas Rangers: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZ | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
| TEX | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 0 |
The Story
The Texas Rangers defeated the Arizona Diamondbacks 6-5 in 11 innings on October 27, 2023, at Globe Life Field, rallying from a deficit to claim the victory in dramatic fashion. Arizona had built a 5-2 lead through seven innings, scoring three runs in the third and adding single runs in the fourth and fifth, but the Rangers refused to fold. The DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Texas win probability began the night at 54 percent in favor of the home side before a turbulent late-game sequence pushed it to a final reading of 100 percent.
The decisive turning points came in the game's final three innings and were anchored by two mammoth home runs. In the bottom of the ninth, Corey Seager launched a home run off Arizona closer Paul Sewald that swung win probability by 48.7 percentage points, erasing the deficit and forcing extra innings. Texas briefly stumbled in the tenth when Josh Jung grounded into a double play off Kyle Nelson, a sequence that cost the Rangers 17.5 percentage points of win probability and left the game deadlocked. Arizona could not capitalize, however, as Christian Walker flew out to José Leclerc in the top of the tenth and Alek Thomas popped out to Leclerc again in the top of the eleventh, each out shifting the probability 14.3 points back toward Texas. Adolis García then ended it in the bottom of the eleventh, depositing a pitch from Miguel Castro over the fence for a walk-off home run worth 41.4 percentage points of win probability.
By the DiamondIQ model's accounting, García was the game's most impactful performer, finishing with a cumulative WPA of plus-55.7 percent and an RE24 of plus-2.4, driven by both the walk-off blast and earlier contributions. Seager was close behind at plus-50.8 percent WPA and plus-1.4 RE24. On the Arizona pitching side, Kevin Ginkel led the staff with a WPA of plus-13.3 percent, followed by Joe Mantiply at plus-8.8 and Ryan Thompson at plus-7.5, though none of their efforts were ultimately enough to preserve the lead the offense had constructed.