Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
| TOR | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 3 | 4 | 0 |
The Story
The Toronto Blue Jays shut out the Boston Red Sox 3-0 on September 15, 2023, at Rogers Centre, with all the scoring concentrated in a single decisive third inning. The DiamondIQ model opened the game favoring Toronto at 59% and finished at 100% after the Blue Jays constructed an insurmountable lead against Red Sox starter Brayan Bello. Boston managed five hits across the game but never threatened to score, committing one error while Toronto played cleanly through nine innings.
The third inning settled the contest entirely. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. delivered the decisive blow with a home run off Bello that swung win probability by 26.3 percentage points, the single largest play of the game by a wide margin. Alejandro Kirk followed with a double that added another 6.4 percentage points, pushing Toronto's run total to three before Daulton Varsho grounded into a fielder's choice that cost the Blue Jays 6.1 percentage points and ended the inning's threat. Those three plays encapsulated the entire offensive story of the game. By WPA, Guerrero Jr. finished as the top position player at plus 24.1 percentage points with a RE24 of plus 2.9, while Kirk contributed plus 5.2 percentage points.
On the mound, Jose Berrios was the central figure, finishing with a game-high plus 25.2 percentage points in WPA. He navigated a seventh-inning situation in which Masataka Yoshida singled for a plus 4.8 percentage point swing before Wilyer Abreu hit into a forceout that erased the threat. Jordan Hicks and Jordan Romano combined to close out the game, adding plus 4.5 and plus 2.4 percentage points respectively as Toronto completed the shutout.