MLB Recap · September 12, 2023

Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners: Final Score & Recap

LAA0
Final
SEA8

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
LAA000000000042
SEA30041000-8110

The Story

The Seattle Mariners shut out the Los Angeles Angels 8-0 on September 12, 2023 at T-Mobile Park, a result that moved the DiamondIQ model's win probability estimate from a pre-game 62 percent in Seattle's favor to a final 100 percent. The Angels managed just four hits and committed two errors against a Mariners club that scored in three separate innings, with the bulk of the damage coming in the first and fourth frames. Patrick Sandoval absorbed the loss for Los Angeles, surrendering runs in both of those decisive innings while facing a Seattle lineup that consistently found ways to put pressure on the plate.

The game's most consequential sequence arrived in the bottom of the fourth, where J.P. Crawford delivered a double off Sandoval that represented a swing of plus 11.8 percent in win probability — the single biggest play of the night by DiamondIQ's measure. That hit capped a four-run inning and effectively ended any realistic path back for the Angels. The Mariners had already drawn first blood in the bottom of the first on a Dylan Moore double, also off Sandoval, which added 5.2 percent to Seattle's win probability. On the other side, Matt Thaiss's strikeout in the top of the second carried the game's steepest negative swing for Los Angeles at minus 5.2 percent, a moment that illustrated how little traction the Angels could generate against Bryan Woo.

Crawford finished as the game's top performer by WPA at plus 14.9 percent with a RE24 of plus 1.6, while Moore posted plus 6.3 percent WPA and Ty France added plus 3.2 percent WPA alongside a RE24 of plus 1.1. On the mound, Woo led all pitchers with a WPA of plus 14.7 percent, controlling the Angels offense and keeping Los Angeles off the board entirely through his time on the mound. The model leans heavily toward crediting Woo and Crawford as the game's defining contributors in an efficient and thorough Seattle victory.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025LAA bats firstFinalSEA win %LAA win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 62.4% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

J.P. Crawford Double
Bot 4th · off Patrick Sandoval
+11.8%
Matt Thaiss Strikeout
Top 2nd · off Bryan Woo
-5.2%
Dylan Moore Double
Bot 1st · off Patrick Sandoval
+5.2%
José Caballero Strikeout
Bot 4th · off Patrick Sandoval
-4.0%
J.P. Crawford Groundout
Bot 2nd · off Patrick Sandoval
+3.7%

Top Batters by WPA

J.P. Crawford+14.9%+1.6 RE24
Dylan Moore+6.3%+0.5 RE24
Ty France+3.2%+1.1 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
Open Game Center →