Los Angeles Dodgers at Washington Nationals: Final Score & Recap

The Washington Nationals rallied past the Los Angeles Dodgers 7-6 in eleven innings on September 9, 2023, at Nationals Park, completing a comeback that began with the DiamondIQ model's estimate giving Washington only a 38 percent chance of winning before first pitch. The Nationals trailed heading into the late innings before Lane Thomas gave Washington life in the bottom of the seventh with a home run off Bobby Miller, a swing that shifted win probability 21.5 percent in Washington's favor. Los Angeles responded with a two-run eighth and a run in the ninth, with Kolten Wong's single off Kyle Finnegan in the top of the ninth representing the game's largest swing against Washington at that point, adding 33.9 percent win probability to the Dodgers. The teams pushed into extra innings tied, where the game's decisive sequence unfolded.

Keibert Ruiz delivered the biggest single moment of the contest, a single off Ryan Brasier in the bottom of the tenth that swung win probability 51.6 percent toward Washington, the largest WPA play of the night. Enrique Hernández had answered for Los Angeles earlier in that same frame with a single off Robert Garcia worth 29.5 percent, keeping the Dodgers alive momentarily. The game ended in the bottom of the eleventh when a wild pitch by Gus Varland allowed the winning run to score, a play credited to Joey Meneses that added 35.9 percent win probability for the home side. Ruiz finished as the game's top performer by WPA at plus 44.8 percent, while Jake Irvin led all pitchers with a plus 32.2 percent contribution on the mound for Washington. The Nationals' final win probability reached 100 percent at game's end, a full reversal from where the DiamondIQ model's estimate had them standing before the first pitch.