MLB Recap · August 28, 2023

Atlanta Braves at Colorado Rockies: Final Score & Recap

ATL14
Final
COL4

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
ATL00202140514180
COL100120000491

The Story

The Atlanta Braves routed the Colorado Rockies 14-4 at Coors Field on August 28, 2023, collecting 18 hits and committing no errors while Colorado managed just 9 hits and was charged with one error. The DiamondIQ model had entered the game giving Colorado only a 27% chance of winning at home, and by the final out that figure had fallen to 0%, reflecting the thoroughness of Atlanta's dominance across nine innings.

The decisive moments came in waves, beginning in the third inning when Austin Riley launched a home run off Austin Gomber that shifted win probability by 20.1 percentage points in Atlanta's favor. Ronald Acuña Jr. added a home run of his own off Karl Kauffmann in the fifth, a swing worth 19.0 percentage points, effectively closing the door on any realistic Colorado comeback. Colorado's most meaningful responses came from Ezequiel Tovar, whose fifth-inning single off Bryce Elder generated a 16.4-point swing for the home side, and Hunter Goodman, whose fourth-inning double contributed 13.3 points. Atlanta's seven-run combined output in the seventh and ninth innings buried any remaining uncertainty.

Acuña finished as the game's most impactful offensive player by the DiamondIQ model's estimate, posting a cumulative WPA of plus-28.9% and a RE24 of plus-4.3, while Riley contributed plus-18.2% WPA and plus-3.4 RE24 to anchor Atlanta's middle-of-the-order production. Tovar led Colorado's individual contributors at plus-13.2% WPA, though his RE24 of plus-0.3 illustrated how little those chances translated into actual run-scoring impact. On the mound, A.J. Minter led Atlanta's relievers with a WPA of plus-1.7%, a quiet but clean contribution to a game that Atlanta had well in hand by the late innings.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025ATL bats firstFinalCOL win %ATL win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 27.1% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Austin Riley Home Run
Top 3rd · off Austin Gomber
+20.1%
Ronald Acuña Jr. Home Run
Top 5th · off Karl Kauffmann
+19.0%
Ezequiel Tovar Single
Bot 5th · off Bryce Elder
+16.4%
Hunter Goodman Double
Bot 4th · off Bryce Elder
+13.3%
Ozzie Albies Double Play
Top 3rd · off Austin Gomber
-12.9%

Top Batters by WPA

Ronald Acuña Jr.+28.9%+4.3 RE24
Austin Riley+18.2%+3.4 RE24
Ezequiel Tovar+13.2%+0.3 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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