Tampa Bay Rays at Seattle Mariners: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| SEA | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - | 8 | 13 | 1 |
The Story
The Seattle Mariners handed the Tampa Bay Rays a 8-3 defeat on July 1, 2023, at T-Mobile Park, turning what the DiamondIQ model estimated as a 36 percent pre-game home win probability into a near-certainty by the middle innings. Seattle's 13 hits against a Tampa Bay staff that couldn't contain the damage proved the difference, as the Mariners scored in five of nine innings and pulled away with a three-run seventh to make the final margin comfortable.
The game's decisive turn came in the sixth inning, when the Rays briefly threatened. Luke Raley delivered a two-run home run off George Kirby that swung win probability by plus-22.0 percent in Tampa Bay's favor, the single largest play of the game. However, Seattle answered immediately in the bottom half, with Jarred Kelenic's single off Tyler Glasnow shifting the balance back by plus-13.1 percent. Teoscar Hernandez then extended the lead with a double off Jalen Beeks in the seventh, a plus-10.5 percent swing that effectively closed the door, while J.P. Crawford's home run off Glasnow in the third had laid the early foundation with a plus-9.4 percent impact.
Among the individual standouts, Teoscar Hernandez led all batters with a plus-17.1 percent WPA and an RE24 of plus-0.8, followed closely by Kelenic at plus-13.6 percent WPA and plus-0.9 RE24. On the mound, George Kirby was Seattle's most valuable arm despite allowing the Raley home run, finishing with a plus-18.7 percent WPA as he otherwise kept Tampa Bay largely in check. Raley's damage proved too little against a Mariners lineup that accumulated eight runs on the strength of sustained contact and timely hitting throughout.