Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Angels: Final Score & Recap

The Arizona Diamondbacks handed the Los Angeles Angels a 6-2 defeat at Angel Stadium on June 30, 2023, with the DiamondIQ model's pre-game estimate giving the Angels a 47 percent chance of winning at home — a figure that collapsed to zero by the final out. Arizona staked its claim early, plating a run in the first inning and then blowing the game open in the second, where the decisive damage was done against Griffin Canning.

The pivotal sequence came in the top of the second inning, when Lourdes Gurriel Jr. connected on a home run off Canning that swung win probability 13.1 percent in Arizona's favor, the single largest play of the game. A Christian Walker strikeout with runners on added another 8.5 percent swing as the Angels failed to answer, and Chad Wallach's flyout in the bottom half further cemented the D-backs' hold, costing Los Angeles 9.9 percent in win probability. Shohei Ohtani provided the Angels' most consequential moment with a sixth-inning home run off Tommy Henry that added 4.9 percent, but it proved too little. Anthony Rendon's grounded into double play in the eighth, a 5.8 percent swing against the Angels, effectively closed the door.

Gurriel led all position players with a WPA of plus 11.9 and an RE24 of plus 2.9, while Walker contributed plus 8.3 WPA despite a negative RE24 of minus 0.3, reflecting his role in stranding baserunners that protected Arizona's lead. On the Angels' side, Mike Trout posted the team's best WPA at plus 7.3 with an RE24 of plus 1.2. The standout performer of the night, however, was Arizona starter Tommy Henry, whose plus 21.0 WPA was the highest mark of any player on either side, anchoring a D-backs pitching staff that received additional contributions from Miguel Castro at plus 3.6 and Austin Adams at plus 1.8.