Los Angeles Dodgers at Los Angeles Angels: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
| LAA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
The Story
The Los Angeles Dodgers defeated the Los Angeles Angels 2-0 at Angel Stadium on June 21, 2023, holding the hosts scoreless across nine innings in a tightly pitched contest. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving the Angels a 53% win probability as the home side, but that figure eroded steadily and finished at 0% as Los Angeles never relinquished the lead after taking it in the fourth.
The decisive blow came in the top of the fourth, when Freddie Freeman connected for a home run off Shohei Ohtani, a swing that shifted win probability by 11.3 percentage points in the Dodgers' favor. The Angels had chances to respond, but the most damaging sequence of the game came in the bottom of the eighth, when Hunter Renfroe grounded into a double play off Caleb Ferguson, collapsing the Angels' win probability by 24.2 points and effectively ending any realistic path to a comeback. A Mickey Moniak double play in the third, costing the Angels 10.4 percentage points, compounded the offensive futility. Miguel Vargas added a ninth-inning insurance run with a home run off Aaron Loup, a play worth 9.7 points of win probability, pushing the Angels into a two-run deficit with three outs remaining.
On the mound, Caleb Ferguson was the game's most impactful arm by WPA, contributing 23.3 percentage points toward the Dodgers' win, while Shohei Ohtani, despite surrendering the Freeman homer, still posted a WPA of plus 20.9 in a strong overall start for the Angels. Ryan Brasier added 11.3 WPA points in relief for Los Angeles. At the plate, the DiamondIQ model identified Brandon Drury as the top Angels batter by WPA at plus 8.0, followed by Michael Stefanic at plus 7.0, though neither could produce the run support Ohtani needed. Freeman finished with a plus 5.5 WPA mark for the Dodgers, a fitting reflection of his game-changing fourth-inning swing.