MLB Recap · June 20, 2023

Texas Rangers at Chicago White Sox: Final Score & Recap

TEX6
Final
CWS7

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
TEX0001102206111
CWS20002003-791

The Story

The Chicago White Sox erased a two-run deficit in the bottom of the eighth inning to defeat the Texas Rangers 7-6 on June 20, 2023, at Guaranteed Rate Field. The DiamondIQ model's estimate gave the White Sox just a 35 percent chance of winning before first pitch, a number that climbed slowly before a dramatic late sequence pushed it to 100 percent by game's end.

The evening's most pivotal sequence began in the top of the eighth, when Rangers shortstop Corey Seager doubled off Aaron Bummer, a swing that shifted win probability by plus-34.4 percent in Texas's favor and gave the Rangers what appeared to be a commanding cushion. Seager had already done significant damage earlier, connecting for a double off Dylan Cease in the top of the fifth for a plus-16.0 percent swing, and his total contributions of plus-62.0 percent WPA and plus-4.1 RE24 made him the night's most impactful individual performer by a wide margin. Marcus Semien's walk off Keynan Middleton in the seventh, worth plus-14.1 percent, helped Texas push across two more runs in that frame to build their lead heading to the final two innings.

Chicago answered decisively in the bottom of the eighth against Rangers reliever Grant Anderson. Elvis Andrus delivered a single worth plus-29.8 percent in win probability, and Zach Remillard followed with a single of his own at plus-23.3 percent, the two hits combining to fuel a three-run rally that gave the White Sox the lead for good. Andrus finished with plus-37.6 percent WPA and plus-2.0 RE24, while Remillard contributed plus-30.7 percent WPA on the night. On the pitching side, Gregory Santos led Chicago's staff with plus-21.1 percent WPA, with Cease adding plus-17.9 percent and Kendall Graveman contributing plus-15.2 percent in the White Sox bullpen effort that secured the one-run victory.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025TEX bats firstFinalCWS win %TEX win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 35.2% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Corey Seager Double
Top 8th · off Aaron Bummer
+34.4%
Elvis Andrus Single
Bot 8th · off Grant Anderson
+29.8%
Zach Remillard Single
Bot 8th · off Grant Anderson
+23.3%
Corey Seager Double
Top 5th · off Dylan Cease
+16.0%
Marcus Semien Walk
Top 7th · off Keynan Middleton
+14.1%

Top Batters by WPA

Corey Seager+62.0%+4.1 RE24
Elvis Andrus+37.6%+2.0 RE24
Zach Remillard+30.7%+0.9 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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