Toronto Blue Jays at Miami Marlins: Final Score & Recap

The Toronto Blue Jays blanked the Miami Marlins 2-0 at loanDepot park on June 20, 2023, scoring the game's only runs in the top of the eighth inning to claim a road shutout. The DiamondIQ model had entered the game giving Miami a 57% win probability, but that figure collapsed entirely by the final out, reflecting how decisively Toronto seized control in the late innings.

The pivotal sequence unfolded in the eighth, when George Springer delivered a single off Tanner Scott that shifted win probability by plus-18.0 percentage points, followed immediately by Ernie Clement's single off Scott that added another plus-12.1 points and brought home what proved to be consequential insurance. Miami's best chance to answer came in the bottom half of that same inning, but Jesús Sánchez grounded into a double play off Tim Mayza, a swing of minus-26.2 percentage points that effectively ended the Marlins' hopes. A Joey Wendle single off Erik Swanson had briefly kept Miami's inning alive before Sánchez's rally-killing grounder. In the ninth, Yuli Gurriel lined out against Jordan Romano in a play that registered plus-11.6 percentage points for Toronto, confirming the shutout was safely in hand.

Springer and Clement led Toronto's offensive contributors by WPA, posting plus-14.6 and plus-12.1 respectively, while on the pitching side Yusei Kikuchi headlined the staff with a plus-32.7 WPA, suggesting he was dominant across his portion of the outing. Tim Mayza's double-play induction accounted for plus-26.2 WPA for Toronto's pitching corps, and Eury Pérez contributed plus-25.6 WPA for Miami despite the loss, indicating he kept the Blue Jays in check for stretches. Nick Fortes registered the game's third-highest batter WPA at plus-11.1, though it was ultimately not enough to generate any Miami offense in a game that finished with Toronto holding a clean 2-0 ledger.