Cleveland Guardians at Arizona Diamondbacks: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 16 | 0 |
| AZ | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 |
The Story
The Cleveland Guardians dismantled the Arizona Diamondbacks 12-3 at Chase Field on June 18, 2023, erasing what the DiamondIQ model had estimated as a 67 percent pre-game home win probability for Arizona and driving that figure to zero by the final out. Cleveland's offense was relentless, putting up two runs in the first, three more in the second, and a decisive six-run fourth inning that effectively ended any competitive tension. The Guardians finished with 16 hits and committed no errors, while Arizona managed nine hits and was hurt by one error of their own.
The game's decisive probability swings came early and centered on Arizona's inability to string together any offensive resistance against Tanner Bibee. Jake McCarthy's strikeout in the bottom of the second was the single most damaging moment for the home team, shifting win probability 16.0 percent against Arizona. Corbin Carroll's strikeout to lead off the bottom of the first carried a 9.1 percent swing in the same direction, signaling from the opening inning that Bibee was in command. On the Cleveland side, Jose Ramirez's flyout in the top of the second was the top positive swing at plus 13.4 percent, a measure of how loaded the bases were in a situation Cleveland ultimately capitalized on, while Tyler Freeman's lineout in the first added plus 7.7 percent. Steven Kwan's triple off Zach Davies in the second contributed an additional plus 4.9 percent swing as Cleveland continued to build its lead.
Tanner Bibee was the game's dominant individual, finishing with a plus 25.6 percent WPA to lead all pitchers and cement Cleveland's control from the first pitch. Among position players, Ramirez posted plus 12.7 percent WPA with a plus 0.2 RE24, Freeman added plus 7.6 percent WPA and a plus 0.3 RE24, and Kwan led all hitters in run expectancy impact at plus 1.0 RE24 to go with his plus 5.6 percent WPA. Arizona's Zach Davies absorbed the bulk of the damage as Cleveland's lineup worked through the lineup repeatedly in what became a thorough and efficient road victory.