San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Recap

The San Francisco Giants defeated the Los Angeles Dodgers 7-5 on June 16, 2023, at Dodger Stadium in an eleven-inning contest that saw the DiamondIQ model's pre-game estimate of a 56 percent home win probability collapse entirely to zero by the final out. The game was scoreless through four innings before Los Angeles plated four runs in the fifth to seize control, but San Francisco answered with a two-run seventh, a three-run eighth, and ultimately a two-run eleventh that sealed the win against a Dodgers bullpen that could not hold the line.

The ninth inning produced the most dramatic sequence of win-probability movement in the contest. With San Francisco closer Camilo Doval on the mound, Mookie Betts delivered a single that swung win probability 26.5 percent in the Dodgers' favor, followed immediately by a Freddie Freeman single worth another 23.7 percent, pulling Los Angeles back into genuine contention. Those two plays made Betts and Freeman the game's top offensive performers by WPA at plus-29.4 percent and plus-28.5 percent respectively, even as their efforts ultimately fell short. The Giants answered in the eleventh when Brandon Crawford singled off Alex Vesia for a 23.4 percent swing, the decisive blow of the extra frames. In the eighth, Casey Schmitt's single off Tayler Scott added 22.3 percent and Joc Pederson followed with a 20.5 percent swing off Victor González, with Pederson finishing as the Giants' offensive leader at plus-21.2 percent WPA and plus-1.1 RE24.

On the pitching side, Tyler Rogers led all pitchers with plus-23.3 percent WPA, followed by Emmet Sheehan at plus-22.5 percent, with Ryan Walker contributing an additional plus-4.9 percent as San Francisco's bullpen ultimately outlasted Los Angeles despite the harrowing ninth-inning rally. The Giants finished with eight hits and committed three errors, while the Dodgers collected ten hits but could not convert them into enough runs across the extra innings.