Philadelphia Phillies at Arizona Diamondbacks: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 20 | 0 |
| AZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 |
The Story
The Philadelphia Phillies demolished the Arizona Diamondbacks 15-3 at Chase Field on June 13, 2023, pounding out 20 hits without committing an error while holding Arizona to just 8 hits and forcing one error. The DiamondIQ model had installed Arizona as a 66 percent pre-game favorite at home, but that edge evaporated almost immediately and the model's estimate fell to 0 percent by game's end. Philadelphia struck first and struck hard, plating four runs in the opening inning and never surrendering the lead, adding two more in the third, one in the fifth, one in the seventh, and closing out the blowout with three in the eighth and four in the ninth.
The game's most consequential moments came in the earliest innings and were defined by strikeouts working against Arizona's fortunes. Corbin Carroll's strikeout against Zack Wheeler in the bottom of the first shifted win probability by -12.6 percent, and Carson Kelly's pop out in the bottom of the second against Wheeler moved it another -16.5 percent, the single largest win-probability swing of the night. Those two plays alone surrendered nearly 30 percentage points of Arizona's early-game equity. On the Philadelphia side, Kody Clemens reached on a strikeout in the top of the first off Zach Davies that added +11.4 percent, and Nick Castellanos contributed a similar +11.2 percent swing via strikeout in the second, each play extending Philadelphia's stranglehold. Alec Bohm's single in the third off Davies added another +5.9 percent for good measure.
Zack Wheeler was the clear standout of the evening, accumulating +34.0 percent in win-probability added to lead all pitchers and anchor what became a dominant Philadelphia performance. Among position players, Kody Clemens led with +12.7 percent WPA despite a -0.1 RE24, while Castellanos added +10.3 percent WPA and +0.5 RE24, and Bohm contributed +5.9 percent WPA alongside a team-leading +0.8 RE24 among the top performers listed. The DiamondIQ model leaned toward Arizona entering the night, but the Phillies' offense and Wheeler's efficiency rendered that projection obsolete by the early innings.