Los Angeles Angels at Texas Rangers: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAA | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 1 |
| TEX | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 2 |
The Story
The Los Angeles Angels erased a multi-run deficit and survived extra innings to defeat the Texas Rangers 9-6 on June 12, 2023 at Globe Life Field, completing the comeback in the 12th inning. The DiamondIQ model had opened with a 63 percent pre-game win probability in favor of Texas, and the Rangers appeared well-positioned through much of the contest, but that figure collapsed to zero percent by the final out as Los Angeles took control late. The Angels trailed after Texas scored three in the second inning, capped by an Ezequiel Duran home run off Tyler Anderson that shifted the DiamondIQ model's estimate by plus-19.5 percent in the Rangers' favor. Los Angeles responded with three runs in the fifth and added one in the seventh before the game was pushed into extra innings tied.
The decisive swing came in the top of the 12th, when Shohei Ohtani launched a home run off Cole Ragans that delivered a stunning plus-51.7 percent win-probability shift, the single largest play of the game. That blow was the centerpiece of a four-run Angel frame that provided the final margin. Ohtani finished as the game's most impactful player by a wide margin, posting a plus-59.8 percent WPA and a plus-2.4 RE24. The Rangers had kept themselves alive in the ninth when Adolis García doubled off Carlos Estévez for a plus-20.5 percent swing, though Josh Jung's strikeout to end that inning cost Texas minus-20.5 percent. Travis Jankowski also factored heavily, with a single in the bottom of the 10th that shifted the model plus-24.5 percent for the Rangers and contributed to his final line of plus-21.1 percent WPA.
On the mound, Texas's relief corps ultimately buckled after Josh Sborz led all pitchers with plus-18.1 percent WPA, followed by Jacob Webb at plus-10.9 percent and Will Smith at plus-9.5 percent, all three contributing to the Rangers' late-game resistance before the Ohtani blast unraveled it. Los Angeles finished with ten hits against twelve for Texas, but it was the Angels' ability to concentrate their damage in the fifth and the 12th that proved the difference in a game the DiamondIQ model had originally expected Texas to win comfortably.